Prof Sir Mark Walport, (SAGE)
UK on the edge of losing control
Death rates
ONS, IFR, as of 4 August, 0.49%
MRC, IFR, as of 28 July, 0.30%
Peak IFR
Cases, 240,000
Deaths, 1,351
IFR = 0.56%
OCEBM, 18th August analysis of past 4 weeks UK
The trend in deaths, however, continues downwards, indicating that the recent increase in cases is not leading to increased mortality
Our estimate of the CFR as of the 4th of August as 1.5% – and seemingly still falling
German death rates, age adjusted
German estimates of the CFR for people aged 80 +
Week 18, average CFR was 29%
Weeks 19 – 27, fell to 17%
Mid July onwards, CFR was 11%
A decrease of 61%.
German CFR in 60-79 years
March/April 9%
July August 2%
Oxford trials resume
Tuesday to Saturday
The University of Oxford’s Jenner Institute and Oxford Vaccine Group
Expected, some participants will become unwell
18, 000 doses given so far
30,000 participants in the US, UK, Brazil, South Africa
Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency
Studies could now resume
US
Cases, + 245, 584 = 6, 427, 058
Deaths, 192, 388
Cases, v deaths
Dr. Fauci
Immune boosting
You should consider 2 vitamins
Takes vitamin C and D, lessen your susceptibility to infection
If you are deficient in vitamin D that does have an impact on your susceptibility to infection, so I would not mind recommending, and I do it myself, vitamin D supplement
Gram or 2 of vitamin C, antioxidant
Herbs, not recommended, if you want to use them fine
Other concoctions I would not do
Flu shots
Everyone 6 months or older should get a flu shot
Immunity may wear off, gets this flu shot middle / end October
Most flu starts middle to end of November
Australia, lightest flu season in memory
Parties
NY
College related
Clusters
88,000 cases on campuses so far
150 colleges with more than 100 cases each
Indoor political rallies
Smoke
Inflammation
Increased susceptibility to infections
COPD
Asthma
Heart disease
Cardiovascular disease
Stay indoors
No exercise
Filters
Ionisers
Don’t add to smoke
Air quality in Canada
