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COVID – 19, Monday 11th May

Cases, 4,118,783 Deaths, 282,947

UK
Half a million deaths in a reasonable worst-case scenario
Cases, 220,449
Death 31,930
29 bus drivers
Cycle or walk to work
Powers to close roads
14-day quarantine for international arrivals from end of May
Private dwelling
Air passengers down 98%
R0 = 0.5 – 0.9
Test trace, testing hundreds of thousands per day
Detecting local flare ups

5 tests
1. Sufficient capacity in the NHS
2. A ‘sustained and consistent’ fall in the daily death rate
3. Rate of infection decreasing to ‘manageable levels’
4. Ensuring supply of tests and PPE can meet future demand
5. Being confident any adjustments would not risk a second peak that would overwhelm the NHS

COVID alert level
1. LOW, Disease no longer present in the UK
2. MODERATE, Low transmission
3. SUBSTANTIAL, Disease in general circulation
4. SEVERE, Community transmission
5. CRITICAL, Disease spreading rapidly

New working normal
Separation by screens
One-way flow
No sharing pens, office equipment
Contactless entrance
Contactless payments
Contactless taps

Italy
Cases + 802 (Sunday) = 219,070
Deaths + 165 = 30,560
Lowest daily infection rise in two months

Rome
150 km joined up cycle lanes

Brazil
Cases, + 10,222 = 162,699
Deaths, + 751 = 11,123
President angry with regional governors

Greece
Cases, 2,716
Deaths, 151
Easing general lockdown
Extending lockdown of migrant camps up to 21st May
UNHCR, 120,000 asylum-seekers in Greece
On the five Greek Aegean islands, 38,291 migrants