Short but very clear interview with Sweden’s viral issue leader Anders Tegnell
– well worth a watch to understand how these things are managed.
Note that Sweden never came near their ICU capacity, and the loading has been falling down since mid April. Note also that ~75% of Sweden’s deaths were in care home scenarios (~50% in their very large capacity care homes, ~25% in “care at home”). Also they got hit hard in Somali/BAME community (vitamin D questions to be answered there).
Basically, with no lockdown, their overall population fatality rate is 0.046% – similar to Europe’s average and lower than many countries including the UK. Note that cultures like the USA may be different in nature, with lower tendency to jump and follow government advice – so not necessarily applicable to all regions…
Importantly Sweden’s curve peaked and fell exactly like all the countries with lockdown policies – lockdowns did not change the peak and fall or behavior of the spread.
Currently it appears that Sweden will end up at maybe 0.05% – 0.06% population fatality rate as the season closes – they are falling steadily towards low daily levels.
Note: this clip is from a recent documentary which can be viewed here: